Jones has turned 22 carries inside the 20-yard line into an NFL-high 11 touchdowns. It becomes much clearer if you remember that percentages are actually *fractions*. The San Francisco 49ers have actually been able to move the ball reasonably well this season, but have struggled converting once the field gets compressed inside the 20. Well, were laughing now, but we might laugh in a good way. #RavensFlock pic.twitter.com/baPz5D57qK. To view more stats, check out our Stats reports. New England had 70 red zone trips and scored on 42 of them, for a 60% rate. No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Arizona has been hampered by one of the worse offensive lines in the game, and that really limits their ability to just pound the ball in when the field gets condensed. Patriots ranks in PPG since 2001 (first year w/ Brady starts)2001: 62002: 102003: 122004: 42005: 102006: 72007: 12008: 82009: 62010: 12011: 32012: 12013: 32014: 42015: 32016: 32017: 22018: 42019: 72020: 26 pic.twitter.com/U0shtM4cQS. Red zone snaps are a little like NFL draft picks, in that if youre pretty sure you dont have a major edge in player evaluation, it makes sense to just accumulate more of them. Will Tashaun Gipson Remain in San Francisco? The RedZone Channel is none of those things. That was the second-worst in the league ahead of only the Broncos (-8.7), and the Browns of course went 0-16. In the second diagram is running blue and passing red? A few years ago, I talked to Siciliano about the RedZone Channel era of the NFL. pic.twitter.com/CK9hLn6Njn. For now, just enjoy the weirdness. Now, the Cowboys have been abandoned by the one group that has stuck with them through thick and thin: television executives. A pair of the top tight ends from the region visited Rutgers football on Thursday. Carson WentzCarson Wentz!has completed 72 percent of his passes inside the 10 this year. They have leaned heavily on the passing game in the red zone and come away with nine passing touchdowns from those opportunities, but here is where their lack of a consistent run game hurts. Through this opportunity-based view of red zone success, Miamis 20 total snaps good for 21st in the NFL dont look quite so great. All Rights Reserved. There are many different ways to look at red zone numbers, but for the purposes of this article we are going to focus on touchdown efficiency simply how often teams are getting to pay dirt when they hit the red zone. I know Aaron Rodgers makes the impossible look pretty routine, but this play is just absolutely ridiculous #GoPackGo #GOAT pic.twitter.com/jBEwqZt5c3, Here's a wow stat: Aaron Rodgers has more touchdown passes (39) than JK Scott has punts (38) in 2020. pic.twitter.com/wKDG3p231c. Joe Schoen, Duke Tobin and the Combine Decoder Ring, XFL Week 2 Review: Battlehawks Rally vs. Sea Dragons, Will Anderson's Pressure Principles: Combine Preview, In NFC South, Only Atlanta Falcons Are Set at QB, Justin Herbert Leads Pac-12 Alumni Awards, XFL Week 2 Preview: Houston and Arlington Battle for Texas, Hurts and Mahomes: From Big 12 to Super Bowl, Orlando Brown, Daniel Jones, and the Tag of Destiny, Sirianni Leads Aggressiveness Index for 2022, Tom Brady Goes Out as Michigan's Best NFL Player, Eagles, 49ers Shine in Football Outsiders Awards, Joe Burrow, A.J. They have run the ninth-most plays from the red zone this season, but have just four passing scores to show for it, even if their eight rushing touchdowns shares a tie for fifth in the league. If we embiggen the sample and look at the 30 most efficient red zone offenses since 2016, those teams collectively also did only slightly better than average, averaging just 0.02 EPA per play over the rest of the season. It pains me to put the Ravens, last years top-ranked team, this low. An unwatchable mess. Cam Newton is tied with Derrick Henry and Dalvin Cook for most rushing touchdowns in the red zone. Only 11 scores from that area of the field though speaks to their issues getting there reliably. 2022 Red Zone Stats Passing Receiving Rushing Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys) - Prescott is a red-zone dual threat. To make it go from the friend zone to the end zone. So I wondered: how much does red zone performance correlate with winning percentage? Let me touchdown I'mma get it. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. The Steelers have the weaponry to be the best offense in the game, but continue to struggle in 2017, and nowhere more than when the field gets compressed and they need to execute better. All of the pieces are still there, but its not quite firing on all cylinders. 100 carries, PFF)2014 Cam Newton (43.7%)2015 Newton (42.4%)2011 Newton (41.8%)2020 Newton (41.6%)2020 Kyler Murray (40%), Kyler Murray is special.2nd & 9, Cardinals 35-yard line, 2nd quarter at Giants.His feet. I am sure the effect is small (we are only talking about a yard or two here) but all the effects here are small and the sample size is large. NFL exile Carson Wentz could crawl his way onto a Super Bowl contender in 2023. Can you help me how you are managing this fast loading website. They were Washington, the Jets, Giants, and Bengals. His 21 TD passes this season already ranks tied for sixth in JMU single-season history. If you're at the 25, couldn't you mention to rodgers, (or RGIII, or any other smart quarterback that scrambles a lot) "If you scramble, don't run out of bounds right at the 10?" Whats legacy, anyway? By comparison, the Packers have one field goal from that range despite being near the end zone much more frequently. But whats the legacy of the blockbuster album? It was @pff_seth who first pointed this out to me, and now I can't unsee it. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. I suppose New England would be high on your list if youre into Pats schadenfreude. Needs a legend. The red zone is a gold mine for fantasy scoring. But if someone says "A is 5% and B is 10%", then I would be comfortable saying "B is 5% greater than A" because the units are all the same (like "A is 5 Cars and B is 10 Cars, so B is 5 Cars greater than A"). TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. Its just pure, uncut offense that, if it starts to drag, will be replaced by something better. Typically, teams with a first-and-goal from inside the 10 score a touchdown 64 percent of the time. The Jets score a touchdown on 40 percent of their red-zone trips. The Eagles are one of the games best offenses, so its no surprise to see them maintain those standards once they hit the red zone. Clemson's 68 . You know, excel can calculate P-values and such for you. Ben doesn't even try to throw to the intermediate/deep middle of the field anymore. On the bright side, Miami looks like a team that wont lose all of its early gains. Something went wrong. This week, The Wall Street Journal detailed that, statistically, the Chargers have by far the most horrible losses in the sport. Therefore, inside the opponents 5-yard line, running is generally preferable to passing assuming a coach has some confidence in the ability of his running back and offensive line to gain positive yardage on a given play. When the Cowboys have lost TV executives, theyve lost everything. Of course, this all rests on the competence of the rushing player and his offensive line. The Eagles will need to be on. It is not a completely different version of football: The sport is a game of nuances and moments between the moments. Drew Lock leads the NFL in intended air yards per pass attempthes the only QB averaging over 9 yards per attempt. An offense facing first-and-goal with 10 yards to the opponents end zone typically has the lowest probability of scoring a touchdown. Michael Mayer, Notre Dame: Mayer is the best tight end prospect in this class, as he's coming off a season with 67 catches, 809 yards and nine touchdowns . BILLS PICK-SIX ON BIG BEN (via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/JNpevUSAOw. Evans, Godwin, White and Gibs on the field at the same time with a coach who . He threw 26 touchdowns and 12 interceptions; he's eclipsed 12 picks just once in his career, in 2008. Of his 13 career receiving scores, just one has come from outside of the red zone. Its not all bad. Could James Harden Potentially Return to Houston After the Season? Diggs is right that the Vikings prefer a more conservative style, but they can be watchable in spurts, which is the point of this list. The Raiders are not unwatchable, but theyre not nearly as watchable as they could be. Mal, Jo, and Ben get together to talk about where the Mandalorian people are, what adventure awaits Din and Grogu, and much more. Whereas the general "3rd and 1 from the 1" statistic also includes the team that got 8 yards of rushing from 1st and 9 and 2nd and 5. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. If offensive coordinator Joe Brady stays, and running back Christian McCaffrey is healthy, they might push for the top 10. The Jets are firmly still in it. SENIOR SUCCESS. 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. Other than that nerdly nitpit, good article. (LJS file photo) What are the most memorable Husker touchdowns for every yard on the field, from 1 to 100? Under interim coach Raheem Morris, however, things have gotten dull. Theres also this keeping the Cardinals out of the top 10: DeAndre Hopkins route tree over his last three games has been limited pic.twitter.com/dQzK9ZQtbV. Only five teams have run more plays from the red zone than the Steelers. The probability of 90.4% is probably* a good approximation. Relative to the pre-merger period, this means that there are fewer long touchdowns. Of the 10 wide receivers who had at least 25% of their team's targets within the. Tom Savage has now completed just two of his attempts inside the 20, to match the two he has completed to opposing defenders for interceptions. Coincidentally, the top six scoring RBs all had double-digit rushing touchdowns in the red zone last season. Although they are a generally pleasant team to watch, Ben Roethlisberger is simply very limited in what he can do. While it appears that the probability of a drive ending in a touchdown for an offense with first-and-10 from the opponents 12 is only 1.35 percent lower than that for an offense with first-and-goal from the opponents 9-yard line, and the probability of scoring with a first down from the 15 is actually two percent higher than from the 14, we cannot be confident that these small differences are not just noise resulting from the selection of the sample. He plays for Delaware Valley (Milford, PA). All rights reserved. This is a team, mind you, that is so popular that even in its putrid condition, it commanded the seasons biggest television audience for its Thanksgiving game. I would never confuse the issue by telling them sometimes to pull up deliberately short (i.e. He was Detroit's leading rusher on the season, and always dependable. The Clock Is Already Ticking for Kyrie Irving and the Mavs, Dallas now has a costar alongside Luka Doncic but has precious little time to make it all work. This season, the Giants are one of the worst red-zone teams in football, scoring on half of their trips. And the team does enough to make Jared Goff look OK: Jared Goff's average pass traveled 3.5 yards past the LOS Sunday - the lowest of any starter. Not particularly exciting unless we had a live feed of this: "Dagummit! Lets watch this team! That defense destroying dudes is fun. Watch Darnay Holmes (@ProwayDarnay) absolutely PLASTER Brandon Allen on the CB blitz.Pat Graham LOVES these CB blitzes off the edge, hits home on 1 or 2 every week. A full list of Cardinals red zone passing touchdowns that season: Tupa-to-Ernie Jones for 17 yards in Week 5 against New England; Tupa-to-Johnny Johnson for 15 yards, also in Week 5; and Stan Gelbaugh -to-Willie Williams for 3 yards against Philadelphia in Week 13. They are a fun, young team competing for the playoffs sooner than anyone thought. One day, we might laugh at how bad this year was. Why Are American Teens So Unhappy? They are getting less normal. 2023 NFL Combine: Tight End Rankings. Last season, Daniel Jones led regular starters in what Football Outsiders calls failed completionsthe short explanation is that he throws less than the ideal yardage on every down. Since coming in to replace him, Brett Hundley has a pair of passing scores in the red zone, but the majority of his big plays have come further away from the goal line. Enter your email and we'll send you exclusive predictions and analysis. This is not only the worst rate in the league, but it seems impossible. He leads the league in touchdowns inside the 5. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. The Miami Dolphins offense is pretty bad right now, and their biggest issue is getting down to the red zone at all. The Supreme Court Not So Much. For the most part, closer is better. From my non-scientific observations of this question, the more consecutive short-yardage runs a team tries, the less successful it becomes. Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic both had 40-point games after the Sixers loss against the Mavs. So The Chiefs Got Creative With Their Roster-Building. Maintaining this efficiency will be tough over the second half of the season given the injuries that have racked up for this team. If they have one saving grace, its that they are the only team to allow points on over half their drives this year. Last year, I wrote of the Eagles: Not just bad, boring. They are still bad, but they are no longer boring. Denver finally got off the red zone schneid against the San Francisco 49ers last Sunday, when running back Melvin Gordon ran through a Fred Warner tackle for a late fourth-quarter touchdown from 1 yard out. Typically, teams with a first-and-goal from inside the 10 score a touchdown 64 percent of the time. Only eight teams have run more plays inside the opponents red zone, with the Chiefs skewing heavily to the pass when they are down there, though some of that is skewed by their shovel pass plays to the likes of Travis Kelce, that are recorded as passing plays but are effectively just forward handoffs surrounding run blocking schemes. Terry McLaurin is such a good route runner pic.twitter.com/gA7gw2zlNF. To play the most entertaining football in the league. The quarterbacks who are not on the roster make everything about the Bears quarterback situation funnier. The Chargers do things like this: Ladies and gentlemen, the Los Angeles Chargers pic.twitter.com/sB6XiCttff, QB IS SNEAKING WHEN O-LINE IS DROPPING IN PASS PROFIRE EVERYONE pic.twitter.com/633syvqRNr. Stefon Diggs now revealing that he demanded out of Minnesota because they over-committed to the run and I love Stefon Diggs now https://t.co/RsWHcBb2nU pic.twitter.com/NRlX2PG0o0. Rod Woodson has scored the most career interception touchdowns, scoring 12 touchdowns. Todd Gurleys resurgence continues across the board, including down inside the 20. By R.J. Abeytia 7 hours ago. This writing shows that you have great writing skills.. well done, I want to make a good looking website like yours. In reply to Re: A Closer Look at Touchdowns in the Red Zone by chasehas. Still, theres hope for Denver in the red area at least if the 2020 New York Jets were any indication. Or does luck and regression to the mean dominate results inside the 20? He rushed for 1,066 yards and 17 touchdowns. Good job on Patrick Graham for putting him in his best spot. After being held out of the end zone for the first time in Clemson's fifth game of the season, Collins scored his fifth touchdown of the season in Clemson's sixth game of 2022, a prime-time win at Boston College. The Cardinals have a good chance to compete for this lists no. Tennessees offense is a run heavy unit anyway, but that goes even more pronounced once they hit the red zone. 2020 Red Zone Stats Passing This site rocks the Classic Responsive Skin for Thesis. And aren't teams with better offenses more likely to then score, because they are better? The only entertainment here is the subtext. Twenty percent of Bradys throws are labeled as bad throws by Pro Football Reference, third-worst in the league. Josh Whyle . Jerry Rice has scored the most career total touchdowns, with 208 touchdowns. . UPSET. Offensively, strong NFL stats in the red zone lead to scoring when the opportunity presents itself. 2022 Prediction Wrap-Up: Did Anyone Believe in the Chiefs? In reply to Re: A Closer Look at Touchdowns in the Red Zone by stevent (not verified). On average, those with a first-and-goal right at the 10 reach the end zone on about 53 percent of drives, while offenses with a first-and-10 between the 11 and 15 will go on to score a touchdown 57 percent of the time. The Seahawks have been 100 percent reliant on Wilson though, as they are one of two teams with no rushing scores inside the 20. The Lions are tied for the league lead for the most red-zone touchdowns, so thats something. Conversely, a team that cant score touchdowns in that part of the field is probably going to be in for a long season. If someone says "A is 100% (more/greater) than B", then I would expect that A = 2B. They are one of only two teams in the league not to have a rushing score inside the red zone, but they have put up twelve passing touchdowns from there. It just seems weird to say 10% is 100% greater than 5%. Like the Falcons, the Lions reliably blew games to the point that you couldnt keep your eyes off them. The 'ten yard ditch' is interesting. Daniel Jones has lost 52 yards in sacks and fumbled 3 times. The Fighting Irish are dead last in the nation in red zone scoring defense and red zone touchdown defense. "The probability of 90.4% is probably* a good approximation.". Russell Wilson has been able to produce 14 passing touchdowns, tied with the Patriots for second-most in the league, despite being in the red zone on 51 fewer plays. They are the perfect cocktail of football entertainment. The 2023 Scouting Combine, which began Tuesday, will have plenty of the top options on display. 5% is the same as 5/100, and 10% is the same as 10/100. The Chiefs' red zone offense is one trick after another, and the Eagles have to be ready for anything By Ben Volin Globe Staff,Updated February 11, 2023, 8:51 a.m. Thielen has helped Cousins produce a success rate of 66.7 on all red-zone targets, good for the best rate in the NFL, along with a total red-zone line of 15-of-21 for 134 yards and eight TD passes . Since Burrows injury, they, are, uh, not. 4. Rookie wide receiver Justin Jefferson is a revelation. How do you put this info to good use? Recent and Trending topics from Football Outsiders. 2022 NFL Red Zone Passing Stats Previous Season Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs AP MVP: Patrick Mahomes AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Garrett Wilson An ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading. When they have got there this season though they have been one of the games most efficient teams at converting that field position into touchdowns, even if it has been 100 percent through the air. The Redskins have been a balanced red zone offense, with just one fewer rushing attempt than they have passing plays, and that is reflected by seven rushing scores compared to nine through the air. Or Green Bay. Kittle is carving out a new role as the 49ers rely on him less for pass catching volume, and more as a big play machine and a red zone weapon. But, what the heck, I'll go one further. In an extreme NFL world, imagine one where teams never scored long touchdowns, but only methodically marched down the field. The Chiefs have scored 41 touchdowns this season, but just 30 of them have come on plays from the 20-yard line and in, including three at the magic mark. Colin, I would like to see a breakdown of running & passing plays on a separate chart, along with success rates by particular play choice. However, because running plays are more likely to result in a positive gain that does not score, probability may dictate that certain combinations of play choices are preferable to passing. While many teams choose to pass the ball on third-and-goal from the 1-yard line, the chance of scoring a touchdown is actually 12 percent lower when passing on third down as opposed to running. All-time touchdown pass leader (including playoffs): 603 touchdowns, set on Dec. 9, 2018 Most touchdown passes with one team (including playoffs): 603 touchdowns All-time total. I have reservations about your usage, primarily because of its ambiguity. Statistical data provided by Gracenote.. TeamRankings.com is not affiliated with the National Collegiate . Clevelands offense has been a rollercoaster this season with rookie DeShone Kizer under center most of the time, but other quarterbacks seeing the field at times once Kizer was sat down or injured. Coming off a season where he had 14 receiving touchdowns, he will do it again in 2022 with at least one more. So 584-531=53, and 53/531=9.1. Zeke Elliott, who signed a six-year, $90 million deal through 2026, has been brutal this year (his dead cap is just $6.7 million in 2023, so they can cut him relatively painlessly then). Edgy analysis, and 24/7 Bucs football news on JoeBucsFan.com. Matt and Craig talk Oscar tactics and more, then later end the show with a prediction about Chris Rocks live comedy special on Netflix, Rachel and Callie also talk all the Bravo news of the week, By submitting your email, you agree to our. They have promise. (10 parts per hundred is 5 parts per hundred greater then 5 parts per hundred). Another team that has changed quarterbacks, and thus changed their offense, during this season, the Chicago Bears have been in the red zone fewer than all but four other teams. This is entertaining but not visually appealing. The Seahawks are getting more exciting. we are going to finish with Touchdowns in the Red Zone (fire them cannons - twice) Mike C Says . Find out more. Jacksonville Jaguars (30) The efficiency of Jones' ability to find the end zone is most impressive. One possible explanation for this odd finding is that this difference is a result of the unlikelihood of getting a first down at or inside the 1-yard line. just before the ten). Once an offense has a first down inside the 5-yard line, the end zone has to be the goal of every play. The reason it connected with Seahawks fans is that it is their reality. . Im OK with this team in a triple box. The Ploys and Tactics Behind Oscar Campaigning, A Secret Laundromat Meetup, New Jersey Episode 4, and Potomac Reunion Part 2. It was leagues beyond the norm. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. How could you miss the potential for history in every fourth quarter? Except at the opponents 1-yard line, a passing play is typically preferable to running on any given play, and the probability of scoring a touchdown on any given play is lower the farther a team gets from the opponents end zone. The Broncos turn the ball over on nearly 20 percent of their drives, by far the most in the NFL, which at least keeps things interesting. In reply to Re: A Closer Look at Touchdowns in the Red Zone by Dean. Last year I wrote: The Baltimore Ravens are the only NFL team to score on over half of their drives. But thats simply not enough to get anyone excited when this team is on the channel. The probability of the average run from the 1 succeeding on first down, plus the probability of the average run from the 1 succeeding on second down after gaining zero yards on the first run, plus the probability of the average run from the 1 succeeding on third down after gaining zero yards on the second run, is 90.4%. You hear it all the time from commentators on TV: the closer you get to an opponents goal line, the easier it is to tighten up and make a stop. But history suggests maintaining such a torrid start is close to impossible. Looking at some passers that have relied on longer touchdown passes to carry their totals, Daniel Jones (45.7%), Tyrod Taylor (44.4%), Sam Darnold (44.4%), and Dak Prescott (44.3%) have all thrown over 40% of their career scores from outside of the red zone. Expected Points Added (7). We present them here for purely educational purposes. Being that inefficient inside the 10 is a particularly grim marker: Four quarterbacks are above 70 percent inside the 10. They are a funny team to tweet or read about and a terrible team to watch. The NFLs RedZone Channel is, in an increasingly polarized world, one thing we can all agree on. They have a plethora of receiving weapons, so its no surprise that this team is unbalanced with far more of their red zone scores coming through the air than on the ground. There hasnt been a lot of watchable football in New York. The next closest team, the 49ers, had 47, or a difference of more than 10 percent.. The Gamecocks have made 21 trips to the red zone and have scored only six touchdowns. pic.twitter.com/JhTjtXu32L, Oof, theres the Brandon Allen I remember pic.twitter.com/VBgG5ZiySO. What Is Touch Percentage In Red Zone? If you've got the first down already, but you know you you're going to get hit if you go inside the 10 (and your coach doesn't like it when you get hit), it makes perfect sense to ease off and run out at the 12 instead. This season the Eagles have used 27 more of these plays than any other team, and it allows QB Carson Wentz to simplify his reads and stretch defenses schematically. But what about scoring touchdowns from farther out, say six to 15 yards from the goal? Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. . But should teams that find themselves in either situation on fire in the red area or ice-cold expect things to continue as the season wears on? More importantly he can do this from anywhere on the field: DERRICK HENRY GAME-WINNING TD (via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/xGSXYfH0bQ. . Use promo code, Hendon Hooker and Warren Zevon: Combine Notebook, XFL Week 3 Preview: St. Louis, D.C. It seemed like an obvious statement during a pretty wild 49ers-Seahawks game. Still, Arizona plays an appealing brand of football. Cons of Strange's Game. His 50 percent scoring rate in the red zone is far and away the best among primary ball-carriers in the NFL. Statistically, the #Jets are one of the worst teams in NFL history. The Giants deserve kudos for not being a disaster: Joe Judge seems like a decent coach, and defensive coordinator Patrick Graham has gotten the most out of players like Jabrill Peppers. Thats exciting. Miami Dolphins (39) No QB has been sacked more in the red zone than the seven times Brissett has gone down. Red Zone Scoring Attempts per Game. The offense has looked stagnant at times this season. The Cincinnati Bengals have had their fair share of offensive woes this season, with the team struggling on the offensive line and with Andy Dalton unable to play at his best because of it. Lamar Jackson has questioned the predictability of the teams play-calling, and offensive coordinator Greg Roman has come under fire. In reply to Re: A Closer Look at Touchdowns in the Red Zone by BaconAndWaffles. The Patriots are not particularly good, and theyre not nearly as good as they should be in the red zone. Instead, its Taysom Hill, a different type of entertainment. Last year, I dubbed the worst four teams on this list the Four Horsemen of the RedZone Apocalypse. Not that I'm a big fan of percentages in general, but to describe the increase from 50% to 60% as a "20% increase" instead of a "10% increase" is a good way to mislead the vast majority of readers. Browns fans absolutely do not care whether it looks particularly pretty as long as they make their first playoff appearance in almost 20 years. The Wentz version would be in contention for dead last on this list. And this Broncos team isnt much more watchable on a normal week. The Dallas Cowboys offense is nothing if not balanced. Or Buffalo (we gotta get the aliens to a Bills tailgate). The rest of the NFL is 68-356-1 (.160) combined when trailing by 10+ points during that same period. Seattles offense at times makes magic happen given how bad their blocking can be up front. That number is, of course, even higher when we look at all offensive touchdowns. However, if the play can be assumed to achieve a positive result - either gain two yards or score - on each of first and second down, the probability of scoring a touchdown increases to 74.6 percent if a running play is called on third down, or 70.7 percent if a passing play is called. The higher the percentage of red zone touchdowns to overall offensive touchdowns, the more important red zone performance becomes. The Commanders should get plenty of red-zone reps against an Atlanta defense that has faced the third-most red-zone plays (115) and allowed the fourth-most red-zone touchdowns (25) in the NFL.

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